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Launch weather forecast
Posted: August 1, 2004

 Forecast for Monday, August 2

Issued: Sunday, August 1
Launch Weather Officer: Joel Tumbiolo, 45th Weather Squadron

Synoptic Discussion: "No changes to forecast reasoning. Expect showers and thunderstorms to initially develop over western Florida. Southwest winds will result in the storms moving eastward across the state, arriving in the area by mid afternoon. The main concern will be the conditions at the time of MST Rollback.

"During the launch window, any activity should be offshore, with the main concern being remnant cloud cover and possible light rain."

Clouds: Scattered at 3,000 feet with 3/8ths sky coverage and tops at 10,000 feet; Broken at 12,000 feet with 4/8ths sky coverage and tops at 15,000 feet; Broken at 28,000 feet with 5/8ths sky coverage and tops at 30,000 feet

Visibility: 10 miles

Launch Pad Winds: Southwesterly from 240 degrees at 8 gusting to 12 knots

Temperature: 78 to 80 degrees F

Relative Humidity: 90 percent

Weather: Showers and Thunderstorms in the vicinity offshore

Probability of Violating Weather Constraints: 30 percent

Concerns: Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule, Thick Cloud Rule, flight through precipitation

 

 24- and 48-hour Delay Forecasts

Tuesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 30 percent
Concerns: Anvil Cloud Rule, Debris Cloud Rule, Thick Cloud Rule, flight through precipitation

Wednesday's Probability of Violating Constraints: N/A
Concerns: N/A

 

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