Forecast for Thursday, August 28

Issued: Wednesday, August 27 Launch Weather Officer: Joel Tumbiolo, 45th Weather Squadron Synoptic Discussion: "Surface high pressure ridge axis is expected to remain north of the area the next couple of days. This will result in deep easterly flow. Any and all thunderstorm activity will develop, and move west of the area, and be concentrated over interior and western Florida during the late afternoon and evening. "Beyond Thursday the forecast gets more complicated. Model guidance varies on the extent, intensity, and speed of the tropical wave that will approach the area as early as Friday. Conditions are expected to worsen as the weekend approaches. "Main concerns on launch day will be ground winds and the proximity of any offshore showers." Clouds: Few at 3,000 feet with 1/8ths sky coverage and tops at 7,000 feet; Scattered at 10,000 feet with 2/8ths sky coverage and tops at 14,000 feet; Scattered at 25,000 feet with 2/8ths sky coverage and tops at 26,000 feet Visibility: 10 miles Launch Pad Winds: Easterly from 090 degrees at 8 gusting to 12 knots Temperature: 82 to 84 degrees F Relative Humidity: 80 percent Weather: Partly cloudy Probability of Violating Weather Constraints: 20 percent Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, ground winds

24- and 48-hour Delay Forecasts

Friday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 40 percent Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Flight through Precipitation, Ground Winds Saturday's Probability of Violating Constraints: 60 percent Concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Flight through Precipitation, Ground Winds